The Value of Adoptic Progress

Three methods for quantifying the return on investment from Adoptic-guided innovation programmes.

1. Overview

Measuring the value of innovation support is challenging, but essential for justifying investment and demonstrating programme effectiveness. Adoptic provides three complementary methods for quantifying the value of progress achieved through its framework.

2. Method 1: ExPost Analysis

The ExPost method calculates value retrospectively by comparing actual outcomes against the expected baseline failure rate. It follows seven steps:

Step	Action
1	Calculate the average expenditure per project across the programme
2	Apply the baseline 90% failure rate to determine expected losses without intervention
3	Count the number of Adoptic-guided projects that achieved successful outcomes
4	Calculate the cost savings from projects that would have been expected to fail but succeeded
5	Calculate the value of additional successes above the expected 10% baseline
6	Sum the cost savings and additional success value
7	Compare total value against the cost of the Adoptic programme to determine ROI

This method is straightforward and compelling for stakeholders because it works with actual outcomes and real expenditure figures.

3. Method 2: Score-Based Valuation

The Score-Based method quantifies value using the structured scoring data that Adoptic generates for every project. It works as follows:

Calculate Total Possible Score: Multiply the number of projects by 365 (the total number of evaluation points per project across all 73 variables and 5 score levels)
Determine starting scores: Sum the initial scores across all projects at the beginning of the programme
Measure improvement: Sum the final scores and calculate the total points gained
Calculate value per point: Divide the total programme investment by the number of points gained to determine the cost per point of improvement

This method provides a granular, quantitative measure of progress that does not depend on waiting for final adoption outcomes. It can be calculated at any point during a programme.

4. Method 3: Extended Valuation

The Extended method builds on Method 1 by incorporating an additional source of value: savings from informed project discontinuation.

Not all projects should continue. One of the most valuable outcomes of rigorous evaluation is the ability to identify, early, those projects that are unlikely to succeed. When teams make informed decisions to discontinue projects based on Adoptic's evidence-based assessment, the organisation saves the resources that would otherwise have been invested in a project destined to fail.

Start with the ExPost calculation from Method 1
Identify projects that were discontinued based on Adoptic guidance
Calculate the projected remaining expenditure that was avoided by early discontinuation
Add these savings to the total value figure

This method recognises that knowing when to stop is as valuable as knowing how to succeed. It captures the full picture of value created by evidence-based decision-making.

5. Comparing the Methods

Method	When to Use	Strength
ExPost	After outcomes are known	Uses real outcomes; easy for stakeholders to understand
Score-Based	During or after a programme	Does not require final outcomes; measures progress continuously
Extended	After outcomes are known	Captures full value including savings from informed discontinuation

Each method provides a different lens on the same underlying question: what is the return on investment from evidence-based innovation support? Used together, they present a comprehensive picture of value creation.

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